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Red145
6841.1
54819.5
31447.5
Blue90
168439.3
124333.7
233726.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610040608012014016014590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
Unranked
47.50.7
46.447.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1684
Unranked
39.30.2
39.939.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68
Unranked
41.10.7
40.040.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
1243
Unranked
33.70.2
34.334.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
548
Unranked
19.50.7
18.319.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
2337
Unranked
26.30.2
26.926.7
Auto
Teleop
End