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Red30
12335.9
43809.6
31311.2
Blue45
447810.1
47554.0
50320.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482604060801001201403045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#9
35.90.7
26.225.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
503
#19
20.80.9
15.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
313
#34
11.21.2
10.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4478
#25
10.10.9
5.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4380
#36
9.60.7
8.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
4755
#39
4.02.8
8.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End