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Red25
30824.2
47554.0
132216.5
Blue60
150220.7
485410.2
125028.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47510204060801002560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#26
24.21.1
20.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1250
#17
28.40.5
26.226.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1322
#14
16.51.1
16.615.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1502
#12
20.70.5
17.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4755
#39
4.01.9
10.88.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
4854
#20
10.20.5
6.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End