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Red114
277134.3
46806.5
360435.8
Blue118
438439.3
262023.7
30824.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617502040100120140160114118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.82.5
29.031.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
39.32.3
34.937.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2771
#10
34.32.5
30.533.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
308
#26
24.22.3
18.120.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4680
#38
6.52.5
3.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
2620
#18
23.72.3
19.922.1
Auto
Teleop
End