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Red157
12335.9
213740.8
30824.2
Blue113
364144.2
118944.0
377317.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8195204060120140160180157113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.83.7
33.236.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
44.21.0
38.939.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
123
#9
35.93.7
30.133.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
44.01.0
38.539.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
308
#26
24.23.7
20.424.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3773
#15
17.31.0
15.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End