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Red127
262023.7
118944.0
2741.4
Blue120
309618.4
213740.8
438439.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10994050150200127120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.3
43.343.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
40.80.4
40.240.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
27
#1
41.40.3
40.741.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
39.30.4
38.739.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2620
#18
23.70.3
23.023.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
3096
#29
18.40.4
17.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End