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Red113
2741.4
262023.7
118944.0
Blue112
213740.8
309618.4
438439.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11096050150200113112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.1
43.643.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
40.80.2
40.640.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
27
#1
41.40.1
41.041.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
39.30.2
39.139.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2620
#18
23.70.1
23.323.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
3096
#29
18.40.2
18.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End