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Red59
34585.3
368829.6
46825.1
Blue95
357226.7
362018.4
432533.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568120401001201405995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#10
29.60.0
29.729.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
4325
#16
33.10.3
32.833.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
468
#4
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
26.70.3
26.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3458
#15
5.30.0
5.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
3620
#19
18.40.3
18.018.3
Auto
Teleop
End