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Red41
433711.6
483513.2
421618.6
Blue93
448211.1
345219.3
125420.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403102060804193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4216
#29
18.60.1
14.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1254
#30
20.13.0
15.218.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4835
#28
13.20.1
10.210.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
3452
#20
19.33.0
14.617.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4337
#38
11.60.2
13.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
4482
#12
11.13.0
2.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End