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Red32
360231.3
438910.7
9048.2
Blue81
37679.4
194013.3
432533.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53310204060801003281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#31
31.30.9
27.326.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4325
#16
33.13.9
21.225.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4389
#33
10.70.9
11.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1940
#23
13.32.3
5.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
#37
8.21.5
10.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3767
#32
9.42.3
7.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End