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Red24
362018.4
439122.8
456813.8
Blue52
194013.3
483513.2
440916.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552902040801002452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#11
22.81.3
21.319.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
4409
#24
16.00.9
13.114.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3620
#19
18.42.2
17.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1940
#23
13.30.9
8.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4568
#34
13.81.3
12.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
4835
#28
13.20.9
11.812.7
Auto
Teleop
End