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Red40
125420.1
485515.3
483513.2
Blue52
34585.3
432533.1
9048.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504302060801004052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1254
#30
20.10.4
20.520.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
4325
#16
33.10.5
31.732.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4855
#13
15.30.5
14.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
904
#37
8.20.5
7.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4835
#28
13.20.4
13.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
3458
#15
5.30.5
4.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End