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Red114
258611.0
295951.3
247445.4
Blue108
261128.3
360231.3
159626.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147750100150114108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.1
51.551.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
3602
#31
31.30.4
30.430.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.40.1
45.645.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
28.30.4
27.427.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2586
#14
11.00.1
11.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.0
1596
#17
26.00.4
25.125.5
Auto
Teleop
End