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Red127
295951.3
247445.4
258611.0
Blue113
360231.3
261128.3
159626.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147950100150127113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.3
51.651.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
3602
#31
31.30.5
30.831.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.40.3
45.646.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
28.30.5
27.928.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2586
#14
11.00.3
11.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.0
1596
#17
26.00.5
25.526.0
Auto
Teleop
End