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Red44
33982.2
485111.3
361923.4
Blue97
259116.2
21622.4
46963.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211070501504497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3619
#31
23.40.5
19.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 40.1
469
#2
63.50.2
56.456.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4851
#35
11.30.5
11.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
216
#6
22.40.2
19.619.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3398
#37
2.20.5
3.84.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
2591
#32
16.20.2
17.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End