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Red68
413038.0
48158.7
361923.4
Blue128
6759.5
365520.7
22615.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62810204010012014016068128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.2
34.834.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.5
67
#3
59.52.5
48.951.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3619
#31
23.40.2
20.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3655
#22
20.72.5
15.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4815
#20
8.70.2
9.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
226
#40
15.03.6
13.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End