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Red82
48343.7
437719.0
353946.4
Blue3
48119.2
259116.2
33982.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7125050100150823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.9
44.945.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.2
2591
#32
16.21.5
17.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4377
#29
19.00.9
16.217.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
4811
#26
9.21.8
11.09.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4834
#34
3.70.9
2.83.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3398
#37
2.21.5
3.62.2
Auto
Teleop
End