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Red184
191838.9
247432.2
483510.5
Blue90
360224.0
361826.5
439216.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78634010012014016018018490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.91.8
37.138.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
3618
#10
26.50.4
26.026.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
32.21.8
30.432.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
24.00.4
23.624.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4835
#24
10.51.8
8.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
4392
#22
16.30.4
15.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End