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Red36
400313.9
224610.0
247432.2
Blue71
261929.0
277123.9
20116.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545420304050607080903671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.4
25.023.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
29.01.4
24.125.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4003
#21
13.91.4
15.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
2771
#11
23.91.4
14.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2246
#39
10.01.4
13.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
201
#17
16.01.4
15.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End