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Red37
357010.2
285125.7
40447.7
Blue4
47433.6
267612.4
354813.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36270206080100120374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.2
21.021.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
3548
#24
13.22.1
13.211.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3570
#36
10.20.2
8.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
2676
#34
12.42.1
10.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4044
#33
7.70.2
5.15.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4743
#40
3.62.1
4.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End