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Red38
354214.1
360420.6
267612.4
Blue89
283421.6
341434.4
261227.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266804060801001201403889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#14
20.60.5
4.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
3414
#10
34.42.3
22.925.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3542
#27
14.10.5
18.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
27.42.3
15.317.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
#34
12.40.5
8.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
2834
#12
21.62.3
22.925.2
Auto
Teleop
End