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Red110
267612.4
438428.5
171846.8
Blue95
360420.6
170119.2
57328.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7652020406010012014011095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.82.5
39.441.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.8
573
#17
28.02.6
24.527.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4384
#11
28.52.5
24.927.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
3604
#14
20.62.6
12.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
#34
12.42.5
7.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
1701
#30
19.22.6
19.221.8
Auto
Teleop
End