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Red140
205455.1
90423.3
86252.0
Blue137
323444.1
400323.4
191848.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13411150100150200140137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.2
54.955.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
48.10.4
47.748.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
862
#1
52.00.2
51.952.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
44.10.4
43.744.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
#14
23.30.2
23.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
4003
#19
23.40.4
23.023.4
Auto
Teleop
End