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Red128
205455.1
86252.0
90423.3
Blue137
7431.6
10738.4
8534.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359350150200250128137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.0
54.554.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
107
#13
38.40.6
36.937.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
862
#1
52.00.0
51.551.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
85
#21
34.00.6
32.533.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
#14
23.30.0
22.722.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
74
#25
31.60.6
30.230.8
Auto
Teleop
End