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Red160
90423.3
205455.1
86252.0
Blue130
8534.0
10738.4
7431.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359550150200160130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.5
54.555.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
107
#13
38.40.5
37.638.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
862
#1
52.00.5
51.452.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
85
#21
34.00.5
33.233.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
#14
23.30.5
22.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
74
#25
31.60.5
30.831.3
Auto
Teleop
End