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Red11
240512.5
36035.9
90423.3
Blue64
445311.2
377025.6
400424.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273902060801164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#14
23.30.9
8.57.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
3770
#22
25.61.3
17.819.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2405
#40
12.50.9
14.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
4004
#27
24.41.3
15.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3603
#37
5.90.9
6.25.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
4453
#16
11.21.3
3.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End