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Red69
9420.8
400424.4
365821.8
Blue62
433716.8
207517.9
6840.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57662040801001206962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#27
24.40.6
17.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
68
#11
40.40.1
35.034.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3658
#30
21.80.6
21.021.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2075
#38
17.90.1
12.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
94
#8
20.80.6
19.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4337
#35
16.80.1
16.516.4
Auto
Teleop
End