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Red95
205455.1
436814.7
6840.4
Blue99
357236.7
9420.8
10738.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10779501502009599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.4
49.649.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
107
#13
38.40.8
33.634.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68
#11
40.40.4
38.538.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3572
#26
36.70.8
30.130.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4368
#34
14.70.4
14.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
94
#8
20.80.8
19.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End