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Red96
207517.9
357236.7
445311.2
Blue106
436814.7
85837.9
387523.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5074020406010012014096106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#26
36.72.1
32.935.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
858
#7
37.91.8
34.436.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2075
#38
17.92.1
14.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
3875
#29
23.51.8
21.923.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4453
#16
11.22.1
6.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
4368
#34
14.71.8
13.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End