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Red118
49440.9
438130.3
207517.9
Blue84
36035.9
167721.0
85837.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87560204010012014016011884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#18
40.91.8
38.740.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
858
#7
37.91.2
36.237.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
30.31.8
27.529.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
1677
#32
21.01.2
19.821.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2075
#38
17.91.8
16.117.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
3603
#37
5.91.2
4.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End