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Red152
140341.5
29343.8
201638.7
Blue138
259062.9
167646.8
162637.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117154050100200250152138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
Unranked
43.80.5
43.343.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.1
2590
Unranked
62.90.2
63.162.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1403
Unranked
41.50.5
41.041.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1676
Unranked
46.80.2
47.046.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2016
Unranked
38.70.5
38.238.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1626
Unranked
37.90.2
38.037.9
Auto
Teleop
End