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Red87
164727.4
22549.5
162637.9
Blue99
201638.7
8346.4
259062.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511460801001401608799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
49.51.3
49.448.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.4
2590
Unranked
62.90.8
64.763.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1626
Unranked
37.91.3
37.436.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2016
Unranked
38.70.8
41.240.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1647
Unranked
27.41.3
26.925.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
834
Unranked
6.40.8
9.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End