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Red140
1162.3
137036.6
70823.0
Blue119
108937.5
162637.9
167646.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116143050100200250300140119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
Unranked
62.31.0
60.161.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
1676
Unranked
46.81.0
55.354.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1370
Unranked
36.61.0
37.738.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1626
Unranked
37.91.0
42.841.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
708
Unranked
23.01.0
22.323.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
1089
Unranked
37.51.0
40.439.4
Auto
Teleop
End