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Red48
249912.5
467413.6
250223.2
Blue71
372315.9
87631.6
25008.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3633102030405060704871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#11
23.21.0
12.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
876
#5
31.63.1
19.923.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4674
#36
13.61.0
11.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
3723
#22
15.93.1
6.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2499
#20
12.51.0
10.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2500
#40
8.53.1
7.210.3
Auto
Teleop
End