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Red103
313026.7
450611.1
216949.3
Blue10
416615.3
46577.7
25008.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503102040608010010310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.34.6
23.528.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.0
4166
#31
15.32.0
12.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
26.74.6
14.218.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.2
2500
#40
8.52.0
11.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4506
#25
11.13.0
11.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
4657
#42
7.70.2
7.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End