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Red28
306119.8
249912.5
44802.8
Blue16
295713.4
167522.1
46577.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333201020405060702816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#17
19.80.3
11.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1675
#29
22.11.4
15.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2499
#20
12.50.3
11.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2957
#16
13.41.4
11.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4480
#44
2.80.3
8.17.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4657
#42
7.71.4
6.24.8
Auto
Teleop
End