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Red50
253010.7
476217.0
251232.2
Blue0
217517.6
8772.2
372315.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5431020406080100500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.1
25.325.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
17.62.9
15.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4762
#19
17.00.1
10.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3723
#22
15.92.9
9.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2530
#30
10.70.1
14.814.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
877
#46
2.22.9
9.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End