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Red28
286121.7
30814.0
318413.5
Blue37
217517.6
303613.5
383910.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2929010204050602837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#38
21.70.0
12.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
17.60.6
12.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3184
#14
13.50.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3036
#28
13.50.6
7.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3081
#47
4.00.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
3839
#15
10.80.6
9.310.0
Auto
Teleop
End