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Red22
46577.7
465618.0
46930.3
Blue42
253010.7
30814.0
87631.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2255040801001202242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4656
#21
18.00.4
16.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
876
#5
31.60.7
25.224.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4657
#42
7.70.4
5.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2530
#30
10.70.7
17.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4693
#27
0.30.4
4.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
3081
#47
4.00.7
7.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End