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Red40
46710.7
282638.3
87631.6
Blue63
375013.3
450611.1
52537.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68500204060801001201404063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.32.1
35.333.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
525
#12
37.50.8
28.028.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
876
#5
31.62.1
24.522.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
3750
#24
13.30.8
10.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4671
#45
0.72.1
5.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
4506
#25
11.10.8
14.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End