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Red36
253010.7
306119.8
462316.7
Blue67
329326.8
387111.3
305619.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43482030406070803667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#17
19.80.6
17.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
3293
#33
26.81.6
20.822.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4623
#10
16.70.6
13.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
19.71.6
16.217.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2530
#30
10.70.6
13.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3871
#26
11.31.6
9.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End