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Red41
383910.8
30556.5
87631.6
Blue40
417410.2
372315.9
295713.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3840102030506070804140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#5
31.60.1
24.224.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
3723
#22
15.90.2
13.613.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3839
#15
10.80.1
7.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2957
#16
13.40.2
13.613.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3055
#41
6.50.1
7.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
4174
#23
10.20.2
10.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End