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Red16
253010.7
375110.9
450611.1
Blue58
462316.7
249912.5
251824.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34540204060801001658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4506
#25
11.11.4
12.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
24.00.5
22.823.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3751
#34
10.91.4
12.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
4623
#10
16.70.5
15.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2530
#30
10.71.4
12.110.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2499
#20
12.50.5
12.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End