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Red90
327625.0
327726.3
453915.5
Blue126
401114.5
206234.6
205233.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628205010015090126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#13
26.30.6
25.726.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
2062
#16
34.61.0
33.634.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3276
#11
25.00.5
24.525.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
33.01.0
32.133.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4539
#19
15.50.5
15.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
4011
#31
14.51.0
13.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End