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Red100
270522.4
252623.1
310216.3
Blue67
181617.6
421518.8
9321.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555830405070809010010067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.9
20.821.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
93
#22
21.40.2
21.121.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2705
#14
22.40.9
20.121.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
18.80.2
18.618.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3102
#29
16.30.9
14.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1816
#10
17.60.2
17.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End