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Red42
42383.7
388320.3
181617.6
Blue36
37406.7
5379.1
453915.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48290204060801004236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#12
20.30.3
17.917.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
4539
#19
15.50.3
8.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1816
#10
17.60.3
15.415.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
537
#36
9.10.3
16.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4238
#44
3.70.3
12.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
3740
#50
6.70.3
7.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End