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Red12
37885.0
32125.7
453915.5
Blue6
37406.7
47035.2
37545.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18220406080126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#19
15.50.6
6.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
3740
#50
6.71.3
7.05.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3212
#35
5.70.6
9.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3754
#47
5.61.3
8.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3788
#46
5.00.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
4703
#33
5.21.3
6.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End