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Red16
388320.3
42604.5
25065.2
Blue46
47035.2
297720.8
206234.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37360102030405060701646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#12
20.31.7
21.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
2062
#16
34.60.8
19.520.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2506
#49
5.21.7
7.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
20.80.8
12.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4260
#39
4.51.7
7.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
4703
#33
5.20.8
4.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End