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Red51
206234.6
418213.2
270522.4
Blue22
401114.5
37406.7
33816.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4425060801005122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#16
34.60.8
20.521.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.1
4011
#31
14.50.5
8.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2705
#14
22.40.8
14.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
3381
#42
6.90.5
11.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4182
#20
13.20.8
6.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
3740
#50
6.70.5
8.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End