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Red18
474111.8
48186.8
451111.0
Blue105
206234.6
226420.8
421518.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3144020608010018105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4741
#26
11.81.3
15.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.8
2062
#16
34.65.2
20.325.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4511
#24
11.01.3
10.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
2264
#23
20.85.2
12.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4818
#37
6.81.3
7.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
18.85.2
9.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End